ManpowerGroup’s Survey Reveals Regional Employment Outlook
Querétaro, Qro. The central region’s labor market is reporting the lowest expectations for hiring in the third quarter of 2025, according to ManpowerGroup’s Employment Outlook Survey.
This region has a Net Employment Trend (NET) of 20% for the July-September period, making it the lowest among seven regions. The NET is calculated by subtracting the percentage of employers planning to reduce their workforce from those expecting to hire.
Regional Comparison
- Ciudad de México: 38%
- Occidente: 33%
- Noreste: 30%
- Sureste: 25%
- Norte: 24%
- Noroeste: 23%
Nationally, the NET is 28%, a decrease of four percentage points annually and five points quarterly.
Factors Influencing Low Expectations
Beatriz Robles, Director of Operations and Key Accounts at ManpowerGroup, attributes the diminished labor expectations to the region’s automotive and aerospace industries, which are affected by U.S. tariff policies.
Economic uncertainty, including the impact of tariffs, is influencing employer decisions. According to a recent survey, 65% of respondents nationwide stated that tariff conditions affect their employment strategies.
Conservative Hiring Decisions
Robles explains that companies are being cautious with their hiring decisions for the third quarter, pausing growth while certain indicators stabilize:
- Clear labor policies
- Legal security
- Macroeconomic stability
- Regulatory simplification
- Investment incentives
- Availability of talent
The estimated job creation for this year is insufficient to meet demand, as labor forecasts are declining. ManpowerGroup has revised its estimate, predicting only 150,000 jobs will be created nationwide.
Challenges in Mexican Labor Market
In addition to the challenges faced by the Mexican labor market, the informal economy presents another hurdle. Robles warns that economic slowdown could increase informality.
Key Questions and Answers
- What is the Net Employment Trend (NET)? The NET is a measure of the difference between employers planning to hire and those expecting to reduce their workforce.
- Why are central region’s expectations the lowest? The region’s automotive and aerospace industries, influenced by U.S. tariff policies, contribute to the diminished labor expectations.
- What factors are influencing employer decisions? Economic uncertainty, including tariff conditions, is affecting employer hiring strategies.
- What indicators are companies stabilizing before making growth decisions? Companies are focusing on clear labor policies, legal security, macroeconomic stability, regulatory simplification, investment incentives, and talent availability.
- Why is job creation estimated to be insufficient? Declining labor forecasts have led to a revised estimate of only 150,000 jobs nationwide.
- What challenges does the Mexican labor market face? The informal economy and lack of formal job-creating incentives pose additional challenges.
