Gabriel Zaid Critiques Mexico’s National Development Plan: A History of Centralized Economic Planning

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April 18, 2025

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Introduction to Gabriel Zaid and His Views on Economic Planning

Gabriel Zaid, a renowned Mexican essayist and intellectual, has consistently criticized centralized economic planning in Mexico. His observations often highlight the correlation between increased central planning and diminished economic growth.

Historical Context: Centralized Economic Planning in Mexico

Mexico’s experience with centralized economic planning can be traced back to the 1980s, when then-President Miguel de la Madrid, a right-leaning economist, established a democratic planning system. Since then, the country’s annual economic growth has averaged a mere 1%.

The Echeverría Era: More Planning, Worse Performance

During President Luis Echeverría’s administration (1970-1976), centralized planning was emphasized through extensive national development plans. However, this period is marked by subpar economic performance, suggesting that increased planning does not lead to better outcomes.

Zaid’s Critique: Central Planning and its Shortcomings

Zaid argues that centralized economic planning is ineffective and potentially harmful to a country’s economy, particularly in Mexico. He points out that once implemented, these plans often lose their relevance as if by magic, neglecting the importance of genuine effort and market dynamics.

Furthermore, central planning stifles the functioning of free markets and competitive forces that have proven to be more efficient than centrally planned economies, as demonstrated by Ludwig Erhard’s success in post-WWII Germany.

Analysis of the Current National Development Plan

Less Extensive, Yet Concerning: The current National Development Plan is less extensive than those of previous administrations. While this might suggest a potential for better economic performance, it also repeats past mistakes by focusing on centralized planning.

Deflating Political, Economic, and Business Expectations: The plan’s repetition aims to undermine any significance attributed to it by politicians, economists, and business leaders.

Lessons from Ludwig Erhard’s German Economic Miracle

Erhard, the architect of post-WWII Germany’s economic success, refrained from relying on growth plans. Instead, he emphasized the role of free markets and competition in driving economic prosperity. His approach, detailed in “Bienestar para todos” (1959), highlights the superiority of social market economies over centrally planned ones.

Key Questions and Answers

  • What are Gabriel Zaid’s views on centralized economic planning in Mexico? Zaid argues that such planning is ineffective and harmful to the Mexican economy, as it often leads to diminished growth and stifles market dynamics.
  • Why has Mexico’s economic growth been sluggish since the 1980s? Zaid attributes this to increased centralized planning, which has failed to deliver the promised results.
  • What lessons can be learned from Ludwig Erhard’s success in post-WWII Germany? Erhard’s emphasis on free markets and competition, rather than central planning, resulted in remarkable economic growth. This approach could potentially benefit Mexico’s current struggling economy.