PepsiCo Lowers 2025 Forecast Amid Trade War Uncertainty

Web Editor

April 24, 2025

a pepsi beverage company sign and flags are seen in front of a building with a palm tree and a blue

Background on PepsiCo and its Relevance

PepsiCo, a leading American company specializing in snacks and carbonated soft drinks, recently adjusted its financial outlook for 2025 due to the ongoing trade war and moderate consumption in certain international markets. As one of the world’s largest food and beverage companies, PepsiCo’s performance significantly impacts the global economy and its numerous stakeholders.

PepsiCo’s Revised Financial Outlook

Revised Earnings Forecast:

  • PepsiCo has partially reduced its annual earnings projection, citing “volatility and uncertainty” caused by the trade war initiated by Washington and moderate consumption in some external markets.
  • The company now expects net income to decrease by 3% from $8.16 per share in 2024, down from the previously anticipated increase of around 5%.

Impact on Revenue:

  • The negative effects of currency fluctuations are expected to influence revenue.
  • Despite this, PepsiCo confirmed its prediction of a maximum 5% increase in organic sales figures (excluding currency impact) and its goal of returning $8.60 billion to shareholders ($7.60 billion in dividends and $1.00 billion in share buybacks).

Challenges Ahead

Ramón Laguarta’s Perspective:

Ramón Laguarta, PepsiCo’s CEO, acknowledged the challenging geopolitical and macroeconomic environment in the first quarter. He stated, “Our business remains resilient amidst an increasingly complex and challenging geopolitical and macroeconomic environment in the first quarter.”

Anticipated Volatility and Uncertainty:

Laguarta emphasized that more volatility and uncertainty, particularly regarding global trade developments, are expected to increase supply costs. The company is preparing mitigation measures “wherever possible,” he added.