OPEC+ Planned Production Increase Weighs on Oil Prices

Web Editor

September 29, 2025

a man in an orange jacket standing in front of an oil rig and a large ship in the background, Consta

Background on OPEC+ and its Influence

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries Plus (OPEC+) is a grouping of oil-producing nations, including members of the OPEC cartel and other countries like Russia. This alliance plays a crucial role in stabilizing global oil markets by coordinating production levels among its members. OPEC+ decisions significantly impact international oil prices, as they control a substantial portion of the world’s crude oil supply.

Recent Market Developments

On Monday, oil prices experienced a notable decline due to expectations of increased crude production from OPEC+ countries. The Brent North Sea oil futures for November delivery dropped by 3.08%, falling to $67.97 per barrel. Meanwhile, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI), its U.S. counterpart, declined by 3.45% to $63.45 per barrel.

Market Reaction and Analyst Insights

Stephen Schork from The Schork Group commented to AFP, “The market has lost more than half of the gains made last week.” Oil prices had reached their highest levels in two months earlier in the week, driven by rising tensions between Russia and the United States alongside threats of tightened sanctions against Moscow’s oil sector.

Schork further explained, “Today, we are witnessing a return to reality, with the market focusing on fundamentals,” indicating a downward trend. Bjarne Schieldrop, an analyst at SEB, echoed this sentiment, stating that “the market consensus seems to be that OPEC+ will increase its global quota by 137,000 barrels per day.”

OPEC+ Production Decision and its Impact

The anticipated production increase by OPEC+ is expected to be approved by the cartel on Sunday. This decision will likely add more oil to global markets, thereby putting downward pressure on prices.

Key Questions and Answers

  • What is OPEC+? OPEC+ is an alliance of oil-producing nations, including members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other countries like Russia. It coordinates production levels to stabilize global oil markets.
  • Why are oil prices falling? Oil prices are dropping due to expectations of increased crude production from OPEC+. The anticipated production hike will likely add more oil to global markets, leading to downward pressure on prices.
  • What is the expected production increase by OPEC+? Market consensus suggests that OPEC+ will raise its global quota by 137,000 barrels per day.
  • When will the OPEC+ production decision be announced? The decision is expected to be approved by the OPEC cartel on Sunday.