Mexican Economy Projected to Shrink by 0.2% Monthly in November, According to INEGI

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December 18, 2025

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Introduction

The Mexican economy is expected to contract by 0.2% in November, following a slight recovery estimated for October, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).

Background on INEGI

INEGI, or the National Institute of Statistics and Geography, is an autonomous body under the Executive Branch of the Mexican government. Established in 1986, it is responsible for producing official statistics and conducting surveys on various aspects of Mexican society, including economic indicators. INEGI’s data and analyses are crucial for policymakers, businesses, and the general public to understand the current state of the Mexican economy.

Economic Context

Mexico’s economy has faced challenges in recent years, including fluctuations in global commodity prices, trade tensions with the United States, and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. These factors have contributed to a slowdown in economic growth, with the country experiencing negative growth rates in previous quarters.

Key Sectors Impacted

  • Manufacturing: Mexico’s manufacturing sector, heavily reliant on exports to the United States, has been affected by reduced demand and supply chain disruptions.
  • Tourism: The tourism industry, a significant contributor to Mexico’s GDP, has suffered due to travel restrictions and decreased international visitors because of the pandemic.
  • Agriculture: While agriculture has been relatively resilient, certain sectors have faced challenges due to labor shortages and changes in global market conditions.

Impact on Mexican Citizens

The projected economic contraction in November will likely have implications for Mexican citizens, including potential job losses, reduced incomes, and increased economic uncertainty. These effects can be particularly pronounced in vulnerable communities and informal sector workers.

Government Response

In response to these economic challenges, the Mexican government has implemented various measures, including fiscal stimulus packages and support programs for small businesses and informal workers. However, the effectiveness of these measures remains to be seen.

Key Questions and Answers

  • What does a 0.2% monthly contraction mean for the Mexican economy? A 0.2% monthly contraction indicates a slowdown in economic activity, suggesting reduced production, consumption, and investment. This can lead to job losses, decreased incomes, and overall economic uncertainty.
  • Which sectors are most affected by the current economic situation in Mexico? The manufacturing, tourism, and agricultural sectors have been significantly impacted by reduced demand, supply chain disruptions, travel restrictions, and changes in global market conditions.
  • How do these economic challenges affect Mexican citizens? The projected economic contraction can lead to job losses, reduced incomes, and increased economic uncertainty for Mexican citizens, with vulnerable communities and informal sector workers being particularly affected.
  • What measures has the Mexican government taken to address these economic challenges? The Mexican government has implemented fiscal stimulus packages and support programs for small businesses and informal workers. However, the effectiveness of these measures is still under evaluation.