Pemex Continues 23-Month Oil Production Decline: Key Insights and Implications

Web Editor

December 25, 2025

a man in yellow is walking on a bridge over the water with a large oil rig in the background, Consta

Introduction to Pemex and its Relevance

Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex) is the state-owned petroleum company of Mexico, responsible for exploring, producing, refining, and marketing oil and natural gas. As Mexico’s largest company by revenue, Pemex plays a crucial role in the nation’s energy sector and economy. Understanding Pemex’s performance is essential for gauging Mexico’s overall economic health and its energy independence.

Oil Production Trends and Recent Developments

In November, Pemex reported a 1.9% annual decline in liquid hydrocarbon production, reaching 1,641,000 barrels. This marks the 23rd consecutive month of production reductions, according to Pemex’s monthly indicators report.

The production volume in November was nearly identical to that of October, when the annual drop was 4.4%. Although Pemex’s production decline has persisted, its rate of decrease has become less severe. What seemed imminent in March – a production plunge below 1,600,000 barrels – now appears unlikely in 2025.

Underlying Factors of the Production Decline

The production decline is attributed to the natural depletion of mature fields owned by Pemex. However, it also coincides with a significant debt to suppliers, which contractors claim explains the dramatic reduction in drilling activities throughout 2025 due to outstanding payments to service providers.

Production and Debt Analysis

  • From January to November, Pemex’s average daily extraction of hydrocarbons (crude and condensates) was 1,633,000 barrels.
  • This figure represents a 7.8% decrease compared to the same period in 2024, when it was 1,772,000 barrels.
  • The 2025 production level is the lowest since 1979, with daily output at 1,443,000 barrels.

Pemex’s Efforts to Address Debt and Improve Payments

Pemex has made significant progress in settling its debts with suppliers. By September, nearly 300,000 million pesos of outstanding payments had been liquidated. With the support of a 250,000 million pesos fund from Banobras, announced in August, Pemex aims to accelerate its payments to suppliers.

Key Questions and Answers

  • What is Pemex and why is it important? Pemex is Mexico’s state-owned petroleum company, responsible for the country’s oil and gas exploration, production, refining, and marketing. Its performance is vital for understanding Mexico’s energy sector and overall economic health.
  • Why has Pemex’s oil production been declining? The decline is primarily due to the natural depletion of mature fields owned by Pemex, as well as a significant debt to suppliers that has limited drilling activities.
  • How severe is the current production decline? Although the decline has persisted for 23 months, its rate of decrease has become less severe. The production level in 2025 is the lowest since 1979.
  • What measures is Pemex taking to address its debt? Pemex has liquidated nearly 300,000 million pesos of outstanding payments by September and plans to accelerate payments further with the support of a 250,000 million pesos fund from Banobras.