Trump’s Venezuela Strategy: A Pursuit of Profit and Geopolitical Advantage

Web Editor

January 8, 2026

a man in a tie is smiling for the camera with a caption in spanish above him that reads, enrique cam

Introduction

Donald Trump’s second term has been marked by a relentless pursuit of advantage and profit, guided by an executive power with no limits or restraints. This approach has led to the recent military operation aimed at capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, initially giving only a 13% chance of his departure by January 31st according to bookmakers.

The Unexpected Military Maneuver

An intriguing detail emerged when an anonymous individual placed a $32,000 bet on January 2nd that Maduro would leave power before the end of January. The following day, their winnings soared to $436,759, raising questions about the use of confidential information. This incident highlights a well-planned, secretive military operation that eventually led to the public announcement.

Unforeseen Consequences

However, Trump’s advisors may not have fully considered the global ramifications of such a significant decision. The primary objectives appear to revolve around petroleum interests rather than capturing a dangerous drug trafficker or restoring democracy to a Latin American nation.

Economic and Geopolitical Benefits

Venezuela’s oil reserves are of interest, despite the country’s dilapidated infrastructure. Investments in reconstruction, funded by Venezuelan oil and safeguarded by the USS Gerald Ford, offer immediate advantages. Additionally, preserving local shale oil reserves allows for offshore contract opportunities when local exploitation ceases.

  • Venezuela’s oil extraction costs through fracking range from $30 to $45 per barrel, while in Venezuela, it’s less than $15, providing room for transportation expenses.
  • Texas’ renowned gasoline refineries are designed to process heavy oil, like Venezuela’s, rather than the lighter oil from their own rock formations.

Trump’s Motivations: Gain and Threat

To understand Trump’s radical, undiplomatic, and militarily precise move, one must delve into his motivations. However, examining other actions and statements reveals that profit and the power of a fulfilled threat drive him.

Examples of Trump’s Strategic Moves

In Ukraine, Trump traded armament for a lucrative land deal with rare earth elements, later renegotiating with Vladimir Putin. In Gaza, his plan for a luxury resort for the wealthy cannot be dismissed as mere folly; it’s a story worth exploring.

Leverage Over Mexico

Trump’s strategy extends beyond commerce to encompass energy and infrastructure, exploiting numerous neglected fronts due to Mexico’s government’s oversight.