Background on Morena and its Current Situation
Morena, the party of Mexico’s current president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, has experienced a series of internal challenges. These issues include calculation errors, unclear loyalties, disparate force measurements, and growing silent discontent. These problems have emerged within a movement that has won everything and governed with the unrestricted support of the majority who voted in 2018 and 2024, positioning Morena for structural reforms with a favorable legislature.
Origins of Morena’s Members
The members of Morena originally came from the dissolved PRD, specifically those who were part of the yellow and black faction that is no longer visible in elections due to wear and tear, as well as migration towards the allure of power and impunity.
Monreal Family’s Growing Dissatisfaction
As the 2027 election approaches, families like that of Ricardo Monreal have found a significant opportunity within Morena, the party of former president López Obrador. However, they are now expressing dissatisfaction.
Internal Differences and Realignments
There are differences in thought within Morena, leading to natural realignments in public administration. This is necessary to avoid doubts during Claudia Sheinbaum’s interim, who has faced numerous sensitive issues resulting from cursed legacies and lack of transparent oversight of projects.
Upcoming Reforms and Congressional Selections
Morena’s focus extends to consolidating the second tier of the Fourth Transformation. This is a crucial task on their agenda, as internal party differences are evident. Adding to this, the Workers’ Party and the Green Ecologist Party, both attached as secondary groups, aim to bolster their support and secure the qualified majority necessary to avoid sinking.
Unexpected Turns and Recent Actions
Morena faces the risk of unforeseen turns, as evidenced by recent actions, seemingly minor but significant. These include adverse votes in legislative recess and opposition votes on urgent, obvious resolutions. Such actions hint at potential shifts in allegiance.
Franquicia Parties and Leadership Challenges
The presence of non-party franchises and their leaders complicates the process of determining who is genuinely part of Morena and who isn’t.
External Influences: Donald Trump’s Messages
ENTRE LÍNEAS
Donald Trump continues to send both coded and uncoded messages through interviews and off-the-cuff declarations, stirring up an already tense Mexico that can ill afford further disturbances.
Key Questions and Answers
- What is Morena and why is it important? Morena is Mexico’s ruling party, led by President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. It is crucial to understanding the political landscape and policy direction of Mexico.
- Who are the key members causing internal strife? Ricardo Monreal and his family are expressing dissatisfaction, though their specific grievances have not been publicly detailed.
- What are the upcoming challenges for Morena? Morena faces internal differences, potential shifts in allegiance, and the integration of external groups like the Workers’ Party and Green Ecologist Party. They also need to navigate the complexities introduced by non-party franchises.
- How do external factors, like Donald Trump’s messages, impact Morena? Trump’s ongoing comments create uncertainty and tension, which can influence Mexico’s political climate and Morena’s position within it.
