Mexico’s Economy “In Good Shape,” Says Finance Secretary Amid Positive GDP Data

Web Editor

January 30, 2026

a man in a suit and tie sitting at a table with a microphone in front of him and a mexican flag behi

Who is Édgar Amador Zamora?

Édgar Amador Zamora is the Secretary of Finance and Public Credit (SHCP) in Mexico, a key position responsible for managing the country’s public finances and debt. His recent statements reflect the overall health of Mexico’s economy.

Positive Economic Indicators

GDP Growth in Q4 2025

According to the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI), Mexico’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded by 0.8% on a quarterly basis and 1.6% annually in the final quarter of 2025.

Annual Growth in 2025

The Mexican economy grew by 0.7% in 2025, aligning with the administration’s expectations of a 0.5% to 1.5% expansion. However, it falls short of the initial estimate of 1.5% to 2.3%, made before Donald Trump’s return to the U.S. presidency.

Optimistic Outlook for 2026

Amador Zamora expressed confidence in the Mexican economy’s performance this year, attributing it to the federal government’s decisions. These measures are expected to accelerate economic expansion, potentially erasing the current economic slowdown.

Expert Predictions for 2026

  • Citi Expectations Survey: Economists predict a 1.3% growth for Mexico’s economy in 2026.
  • FMI Projection: The Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) forecasts a slightly more optimistic 1.5% growth for Mexico’s economy in 2026.
  • Government Projection: The federal government, led by Claudia Sheinbaum, anticipates an economic growth range of 1.8% to 2.8% for 2026, driven by reduced uncertainty this year.

Uncertainties and Challenges

Despite the positive outlook, global geopolitical and trade tensions continue to create uncertainty. Analysts suggest that these factors might still pose challenges to Mexico’s economic growth in 2026.