Mexico’s Southern States Brace for Strong Rains, High Winds as Cold Front 32 Impacts Veracruz, Oaxaca, and Guerrero

Web Editor

January 31, 2026

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Introduction

As Cold Front 32 moves across Mexico on February 1, the country’s southern and eastern regions, including Veracruz, Oaxaca, and Guerrero, are expected to experience significant weather impacts. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) warns of heavy rainfall, strong winds, and cold temperatures in these areas due to the persistent cold air mass.

Heavy Rains in the South and East

The SMN forecast predicts scattered showers with heavy rainfall (25-50 mm) in the following regions:

  • Veracruz: Papaloapan, Los Tuxtlas, and Olmeca zones
  • Guerrero
  • Oaxaca

These rainfall events may include thunderstorms, leading to waterlogging, increased river and stream levels, and potential landslides in hilly areas. Authorities advise extra caution in mountainous regions and flood-prone zones.

Additionally, scattered showers are expected in western and central states like Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Estado de México, Hidalgo, and Puebla. Meanwhile, isolated showers are forecast for Mexico City.

Intense Winds and Elevated Waves

The SMN warns of ongoing “norte” (northwesterly wind) events in the south and southeast, with potentially dangerous gusts:

  • 80 to 100 km/h in the Isthmus and Tehuantepec Gulf, affecting Oaxaca and Chiapas
  • Strong winds also expected in Gulf of Mexico and Yucatan Peninsula areas

These conditions may cause falling trees, outdoor advertisements, and disrupt maritime activities. Elevated wave conditions are predicted along the Golfo and southeastern coasts, so caution is advised for navigation.

Cold Temperatures and Frost Risk

The cold air mass will maintain freezing to very cold conditions during mornings and nights in northern, central, and eastern Mexico, with frost in high-altitude areas. Snow or sleet is still possible during mornings on mountain peaks such as Popocatépetl, Pico de Orizaba, and Cofre de Perote.

These conditions may create dense fog and slippery road surfaces on mountain routes, so drivers are advised to exercise caution.

Key Questions and Answers

  • Q: Which states will be most affected by Cold Front 32?

    A: Veracruz, Oaxaca, and Guerrero are among the most impacted states in Mexico’s southern and eastern regions.

  • Q: What types of weather can be expected with Cold Front 32?

    A: Heavy rainfall, strong winds, cold temperatures, and the risk of frost are expected in affected areas.

  • Q: How will the weather impact daily life in these regions?

    A: Residents should be prepared for waterlogging, increased river levels, potential landslides, disrupted maritime activities, and hazardous driving conditions due to fog and slippery roads.