Background on Mexican Beer Exports and Key Players
Mexico’s beer exports experienced a 3.5% interannual decline between January and July of 2025, totaling $4,014 million. This marks the first negative growth rate for a similar period since 2020, when the decrease was 18.1%, according to statistics from Mexico’s Bank of Mexico (Banxico) and the Group of Agricultural Market Consultants (GCMA).
Excluding the pandemic-affected 2020, the closest decline in export value was recorded in 2010, with a decrease of 1.7%. In 2008, there was another drop of 2.3%.
Juan Carlos Anaya, General Director of the GCMA, explained that between January and July 2025, the volume of exports summed up to 2,617.9 million liters, representing a 4.0% decrease compared to the 2,727.3 million liters exported during the same period in 2024.
Reasons for the Decline
Anaya highlighted that one of the main reasons for the reduction is “due to the high base in 2024 and adjustments in consumption in the United States, our main market.”
He further mentioned that “the peak was observed in 2021. In 2024, the highest value in dollars was reached, while 2025 shows a regression from the previous year’s record, although at high levels compared to 2019-2022.”
Impact on the Mexican Agroalimentary Sector
The Mexican agroalimentary sector experienced a slowdown in its dynamism in July, reflected in decreased exports and significant commercial impact on key products.
Cumulative agroalimentary exports by July 2025 reached $31,643 million, a 4.3% reduction compared to the same period in 2024.
Meanwhile, imports remained stable in value at $26,226 million, a slight 0.5% increase due to falling international prices, though they increased in volume. Despite the sales drop, the agroalimentary balance remained surplus at $5,418 million, though it decreased by 22.4% from the previous year.
Products like avocados and sugar performed well, while bovine and tomato exports negatively affected the overall agroalimentary balance.
Key Questions and Answers
- What caused the decline in Mexican beer exports? The high base from 2024 and adjustments in consumption patterns, particularly in the United States, contributed to the decline.
- Which countries are key export destinations for Mexican agroalimentary products? The United States accounts for over 90% of Mexican agroalimentary exports, followed by the Dominican Republic, Spain, Guatemala, and Peru.
- Are there any potential threats to the Mexican agroalimentary sector? Although US tariffs of 25% on beer and aluminum cans could impact the industry, no negative effects have been observed yet. The high concentration of exports to the US implies vulnerability to potential regulatory or demand changes.
- What are the main agroalimentary products exported by Mexico? Beer remains the primary agroalimentary export, followed by avocados, tequila, berries, cattle and meat, and tomatoes.