Introduction to Mexico’s Economic Situation
Mexico is one of the countries most affected by economic growth, following the imposition of tariffs in the United States. Originally projected to grow by 1% in the PIB for 2025, Mexico’s growth prospects have experienced a downward correction of 0.4 percentage points, according to the private sector.
Private Sector’s Warnings and Concerns
The Center for Economic Studies of the Private Sector (CEESP) has expressed concerns that uncertainty will persist in 2026, and a possible increase in protectionist measures could hinder greater growth in the medium term. This is particularly worrying for Mexico’s economic outlook.
“Mexico has been one of the most affected countries, as the growth projection for 2025 was set at 1%, representing a downward correction of 0.4 percentage points compared to the advance in 2024,” stated the private sector organization affiliated with the Consejo Coordinador Empresarial (CCE).
Global Inflation and Mexico’s Situation
Although global general inflation is expected to continue declining, some countries will remain above their official targets. In Mexico’s case, inflation is projected to stay above 3%, according to CEESP.
Recommendations for Economic Improvement
The private sector recommends implementing better policies to tackle international trade issues while fostering an environment with the rule of law and clear regulations to attract more productive investment, stated CEESP.
Global Economic Outlook
The private sector organization concluded that 2025 will end amidst a global economy facing various challenges that have slowed its growth rate. According to the latest forecasts from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), global economic growth is expected to be 3.2% for this year, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points compared to 2024.
For 2026, there is a modest expectation of economic improvement; however, it is likely to remain weak due to geopolitical uncertainty and trade tensions that are expected to extend into the following year.
The global economic expansion is projected to weaken, with more moderate growth expectations due to the current context where protectionism may continue to rise through increasing tariffs, as per CEESP.
Mexico’s Current Economic Performance
By the third quarter of 2025, Mexico’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has accumulated an annual growth rate of 0.4%. Economists surveyed by Banxico predict a trimestral desestacionalizado growth rate of just 0.1% for the final quarter of the year.
Key Questions and Answers
- What is the current economic situation in Mexico? Mexico’s GDP growth prospects have been downwardly corrected by 0.4 percentage points due to global economic challenges, including tariffs imposed by the United States.
- What concerns does the private sector have regarding Mexico’s economy? The private sector, represented by CEESP, is worried about prolonged uncertainty and potential protectionist measures that could hinder medium-term growth.
- What is the expected global economic growth for 2025 and 2026? The IMF forecasts a global economic growth of 3.2% for 2025, a decrease from previous years. For 2026, there is a modest expectation of improvement, but it is likely to remain weak due to geopolitical uncertainty and trade tensions.
- What is Mexico’s projected inflation rate for 2025? Despite a general decline in global inflation, Mexico is expected to have an inflation rate above 3%.
- What recommendations does the private sector have for Mexico’s economic improvement? CEESP suggests implementing better policies to address international trade issues and fostering an environment with the rule of law and clear regulations to attract more productive investment.
