Japan’s Inflation Cools to 2.7% in August, Still Above Bank’s Target

Web Editor

September 18, 2025

a woman is buying fruit at a market stall with other people looking at it and a man in a blue jacket

Overview of Japan’s Inflation Trends

Japan’s inflation rate cooled to 2.7% in August from 3.1% in July, according to official data released on Friday. The Ministry of Internal Affairs’ reading, which excludes volatile fresh food prices, met market expectations.

Inflation Rate Breakdown

  • August inflation rate: 2.7%
  • July inflation rate: 3.1%

Impact of Rising Food Prices

Despite the overall cooling, Japan’s inflation remains influenced by rising food prices. Notably, the price of rice increased by 68.8% year-over-year in August, following significant jumps of around 100% in June and 90.7% in July.

Expert Analysis

Taro Kimura, an analyst at Bloomberg Economics, stated that a decrease in inflation “won’t change the overall picture.” He added that consumer prices will remain high enough for the Bank of Japan to continue its plan of reducing stimulus, likely in October.

Bank of Japan’s Response

The Bank of Japan aims to maintain a 2% inflation rate. With August’s inflation still above this target, expectations grow that the central bank will raise interest rates to curb price increases.

Key Questions and Answers

  • Q: What is the current inflation rate in Japan? A: The inflation rate cooled to 2.7% in August from 3.1% in July.
  • Q: Which factors are driving Japan’s inflation? A: Rising food prices, particularly rice, are significantly contributing to Japan’s inflation.
  • Q: How is the Bank of Japan responding to this inflation? A: The Bank of Japan aims for a 2% inflation rate. With current rates above this target, the bank is expected to raise interest rates.
  • Q: What does Taro Kimura, the Bloomberg Economics analyst, predict regarding future inflation and Bank of Japan’s actions? A: Kimura believes that although inflation may decrease, it will still be high enough to prompt the Bank of Japan to continue reducing stimulus measures, likely in October.