The Hidden Costs of Rice: A Climate Change Paradox

Web Editor

November 8, 2025

a man is standing in a field of corn and holding a bucket of corn stalks in his hand and a bag of gr

A Staple Food Under Climate Threat

Rice, a staple food for over 4 billion people and contributing up to 70% of daily calorie intake in some countries, faces a precarious future due to climate change. According to an analysis by the World Economic Forum, a 1°C increase in global average temperature could reduce rice yields by more than 8%.

Extreme weather events, irregular rainfall, droughts, floods, and saltwater intrusion in coastal areas are increasingly affecting rice cultivation, particularly in low-lying or exposed flatlands. Moreover, rice farming accounts for 34% to 43% of global irrigation water use, making it increasingly costly and risky in regions facing water scarcity.

Why Rice Also Pollutes

The central contradiction of rice is that it not only suffers from climate change effects but also significantly contributes to it. The traditional cultivation method, involving flooded fields for much of the growth cycle, creates ideal conditions for soil bacteria to produce methane, a potent greenhouse gas 80 times more effective than CO2 in the short term. It’s estimated that between 10% and 12% of global methane emissions originate from rice paddies.

Furthermore, the use of nitrogen-based fertilizers releases oxide nitrous, another powerful heat-trapping gas. Rice farming also involves deforestation in certain regions, loss of biodiversity, and intensive use of natural resources.

The Unseen Price Tag

The price we pay for rice at the supermarket only covers transportation, storage, packaging, and agricultural labor. However, it doesn’t reflect the environmental and social costs of production, such as depletion of freshwater sources, emissions of polluting gases, land degradation, loss of livelihoods for farmers, and growing vulnerability of food systems.

The World Economic Forum’s analysis suggests efforts are underway to monetize these hidden costs—land use, greenhouse gas emissions, biodiversity loss—to provide a more accurate “value” indication for rice and spark debate on who should bear these costs.

Is Sustainable Rice Production Possible?

Despite the critical situation, solutions are emerging. One significant approach is Alternate Wetting and Drying (AWD), which involves partially drying fields before re-flooding them. This method can reduce methane emissions by up to 70% without affecting crop yield.

Additionally, rice varieties resistant to heat, salinity, and requiring less water are being developed. Technology also plays a role with sensors, drones, and AI systems optimizing irrigation, monitoring soil health, and reducing fertilizer use.

More Than Hunger: A Grain Revealing Much More

Rice, seemingly a simple food, unveils one of the most significant challenges of our time: feeding a growing global population without destroying the ecosystems that make it possible. Its value lies not only in its price per kilo but also in the delicate balance it requires between planet care and the right to food.

If not revalued, rice could transition from a symbol of abundance to the first major warning sign of scarcity.

Key Questions and Answers

  • What is the significance of rice globally? Rice is a staple food for over 4 billion people and contributes significantly to the daily calorie intake in many countries.
  • How does climate change affect rice production? Rising temperatures, extreme weather events, and water scarcity threaten rice yields. Rice farming also contributes to climate change through methane and oxide nitrous emissions.
  • What are the hidden costs of rice production? These include depletion of freshwater sources, emissions of polluting gases, loss of livelihoods for farmers, and growing vulnerability of food systems.
  • What solutions are being explored for sustainable rice production? Methods like Alternate Wetting and Drying (AWD), development of climate-resistant rice varieties, and use of technology for optimized resource management are being pursued.