H&M Surpasses Q4 Profit Expectations Despite Winter Sales Slowdown

Web Editor

January 29, 2026

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Background on H&M and its Current Challenges

H&M, a popular fast-fashion retailer based in Sweden, recently reported better-than-expected Q4 results for the fiscal year despite a slowdown in winter sales. The company has been facing challenges, including reduced consumer spending and increased competition from online retailers like Shein, which offer lower prices. Meanwhile, H&M’s rival Inditex, owner of Zara, dominates the high-end fast-fashion segment.

Q4 Financial Performance

H&M’s operating income for the September-November period, which includes Black Friday, increased by 38% compared to the previous year, reaching 6.36 billion Swedish kronor (approximately $724 million). This surpassed the LSEG analysts’ forecast of 5.53 billion Swedish kronor and expanded the company’s operating margin from 7.4% to 10.7%.

CEO’s Efforts and Current Satisfaction

Under CEO Daniel Erver’s leadership for the past two years, H&M has focused on improving profitability through collaborations with pop stars to stay fashionable and by reinforcing cost control. Although H&M’s stock has risen 3% over the past six months due to margin recovery, analysts argue that Erver must now demonstrate his ability to reignite sales growth.

  • Analyst Perspective: According to Inderes analyst Lucas Mattsson, “It doesn’t seem they have solved the sales growth issue yet,” but he acknowledges that margin recovery is a positive sign.
  • Erver’s Statement: Erver told analysts and media that while H&M is not yet where he wants it in terms of brand perception, the company is on the right track. He emphasized the need to better understand customer preferences and bring relevant products to market faster.

Sales Performance and Future Outlook

Local currency sales grew by 2% in Q4, but they fell 2% in December and January, according to H&M. The company attributed this decline to calendar effects. Financial chief Adam Karlsson warned that persistent consumer confidence weakness, particularly in some European markets, might necessitate more discounts this quarter.

H&M also anticipates rising trade tariffs, which could impact future profitability.

Key Questions and Answers

  • Q: What challenges is H&M currently facing?
  • A: H&M is dealing with reduced consumer spending, increased competition from low-priced online retailers like Shein, and a dominant rival in Inditex (owner of Zara) in the high-end fast-fashion segment.

  • Q: How did H&M perform financially in Q4?
  • A: H&M’s operating income increased by 38% compared to the previous year, reaching 6.36 billion Swedish kronor ($724 million), surpassing analyst expectations and expanding its operating margin from 7.4% to 10.7%.

  • Q: What are the concerns regarding H&M’s sales growth?
  • A: Analyst Lucas Mattsson from Inderes stated that H&M has yet to resolve the sales growth issue, although margin recovery is a positive sign.

  • Q: What are H&M’s plans to improve its performance?
  • A: CEO Daniel Erver acknowledged that H&M needs to better understand customer preferences and bring relevant products to market more quickly.

  • Q: What factors might affect H&M’s future profitability?
  • A: Persistent consumer confidence weakness, especially in some European markets, and rising trade tariffs could impact H&M’s future profitability.