Mexican Peso Continues Advance Against the Dollar, Hits Lowest Since October

Web Editor

May 14, 2025

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Background on the Mexican Peso and its Recent Performance

The Mexican peso has been steadily gaining strength against the US dollar, reaching its lowest level since October due to a weakening US currency. This trend is observed as most emerging currencies, including the peso, benefit from the dollar’s decline.

Current Exchange Rate and Dollar Performance

As of the morning of this Wednesday, the spot exchange rate stands at 19.3766 pesos per dollar, marking a 1.60-centavo (or 0.08%) improvement compared to the previous day’s official closing rate of 19.3926 pesos per dollar, according to data from the Banco de México (Banxico).

The dollar’s value fluctuates between a high of 19.4250 pesos and a low of 19.3032 pesos. The Dollar Index (DXY) from the Intercontinental Exchange, which compares the US dollar to six reference currencies, has dropped by 0.25% to 100.73 units.

The US dollar continues to decline following its largest loss in over three weeks, driven by lower-than-expected inflation data in the United States that supports the notion of potential adjustments to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate.

Expert Opinions and Market Anticipation

Monex, a financial firm, stated: “The Mexican peso is being propelled by the US dollar’s retreat, which benefits 70% of emerging currencies and most developed economy currencies. It broke through the 19.43 support level yesterday, thanks to the correction in the US currency.”

Domestic traders are closely watching the upcoming Thursday announcement of Banxico’s monetary policy decision. Market expectations widely anticipate a 0.5 percentage point reduction in lending costs, the third consecutive cut of this magnitude.

Actinver highlighted: “The local market remains eager for the Banco de México’s monetary policy decision. We forecast a 0.5 percentage point cut to the benchmark rate at 8.50%, backed by inflation that has consistently remained within the target range for four consecutive months.”

Key Questions and Answers

  • Q: Why is the Mexican peso gaining strength against the US dollar?

    A: The Mexican peso is benefiting from the weakening US dollar, which positively impacts 70% of emerging currencies and most developed economy currencies.

  • Q: What is the current exchange rate between the Mexican peso and the US dollar?

    A: The spot exchange rate is currently at 19.3766 pesos per dollar, representing a 0.08% improvement from the previous day.

  • Q: What factors are contributing to the US dollar’s decline?

    A: The US dollar is falling due to lower-than-expected inflation data in the United States, which suggests potential adjustments to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate.

  • Q: What is the anticipated monetary policy decision from Banco de México?

    A: Market expectations widely anticipate a 0.5 percentage point reduction in lending costs, the third consecutive cut of this magnitude.