Mexican Peso Gains Ground Against the Dollar Amid Fed Rate Cut Bets

Web Editor

October 3, 2025

a close up of a one dollar bill with a coin on top of it and a green and white background, Aquirax U

Background on Key Figures and Institutions

The Mexican Peso has been strengthening against the US Dollar this Friday, as traders speculate on further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Banco de México (Banxico) is Mexico’s central bank, while Copkapital is a financial analysis firm providing insights into market trends.

Current Market Dynamics

The spot exchange rate for the Mexican Peso is currently at 18.3995, representing a gain of 2.57 centavos or 0.14% compared to the previous day’s closing of 18.4252. The US government shutdown has delayed the release of crucial non-farm payroll data, causing investors to focus on expectations of additional Fed rate cuts.

  • Dollar Range: The Dollar’s movement is between a high of 18.4377 Pesos and a low of 18.3723 Pesos.
  • DXY Index: The Intercontinental Exchange’s Dollar Index (DXY) fell 0.15% to 97.75 points, indicating a weakening US currency.

Local Factors Influencing the Peso

On the domestic front, a better-than-expected fixed investment report for July and Fitch’s upgrade of Pemex’s credit rating from “BB” to “BB+” with a stable outlook have bolstered the Peso’s performance.

Pemex, Mexico’s state-owned petroleum company, is a significant player in the nation’s economy. The credit rating upgrade by Fitch reflects improved financial standing and stability, which positively impacts investor confidence in the Mexican economy.

Investor Speculation and Fed Rate Cuts

Copkapital highlighted that investors are focusing on the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Fed, increasing the likelihood of a rate reduction in the upcoming meeting despite the absence of non-farm payroll data.

Key Questions and Answers

  • Q: Who are the key figures and institutions mentioned?

    The Federal Reserve (Fed), Banco de México (Banxico), and Copkapital, a financial analysis firm, are mentioned.

  • Q: What is the current state of the Mexican Peso against the US Dollar?

    The Mexican Peso has gained ground against the US Dollar, with a spot exchange rate of 18.3995, representing a 0.14% increase.

  • Q: How has the US government shutdown affected market dynamics?

    The government shutdown delayed the release of crucial non-farm payroll data, causing investors to focus on expectations of additional Fed rate cuts.

  • Q: What local factors are supporting the Mexican Peso?

    A better-than-expected fixed investment report for July and Fitch’s upgrade of Pemex’s credit rating from “BB” to “BB+” with a stable outlook have bolstered the Peso’s performance.

  • Q: What are investors speculating about the Federal Reserve’s interest rates?

    Investors are speculating on further interest rate cuts by the Fed, increasing the likelihood of a rate reduction in the upcoming meeting.