Mexican Peso Weakens Against the Dollar Amid Global Strengthening and Local GDP Contraction

Web Editor

October 30, 2025

a stack of money sitting on top of a pile of money on top of a table next to a pile of coins, Carlos

Dollar’s Global Strength and Mexico’s Economic Contraction

The Mexican peso is weakening against the US dollar on Thursday, as global demand for the greenback strengthens and following news that Mexico’s local economy contracted in the third quarter, aligning with analysts’ projections.

The spot exchange rate is currently at 18.5859 pesos per dollar, marking a decrease of 11.53 centavos (0.62%) compared to the previous day’s closing rate of 18.4706 pesos per dollar, according to Banco de México (Banxico) data.

The dollar’s value fluctuates between a high of 18.5025 pesos and a low of 18.3962 pesos, while the Intercontinental Exchange’s Dollar Index (DXY) falls 0.34% to 99.49 points.

Dollar’s Global Strength

The dollar continues to gain strength after Jerome Powell, the President of the Federal Reserve (Fed), stated that financial markets should not overly anticipate a third consecutive interest rate cut in December due to inflation risks.

In trade-related news, market operators are processing the outcomes of the anticipated meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea, which led to the immediate reduction of tariffs on China.

Mexico’s Local GDP Contraction

On the domestic front, Mexico’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) fell 0.3% in the third quarter compared to the April-June period, as expected, according to preliminary, seasonally adjusted figures released by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). On an annual basis, the GDP decreased by 0.2% in original terms.

Monex Grupo Financiero explained, “The peso is being affected by preliminary local GDP data and an unfavorable external environment, as Fed President Jerome Powell dampened market optimism, and the yen’s weakness propels the dollar’s advance.”

Key Questions and Answers

  • What is causing the Mexican peso to weaken against the US dollar? The Mexican peso is weakening due to preliminary local GDP data showing an economic contraction and an unfavorable external environment, including Fed President Jerome Powell’s cautious stance and the yen’s weakness.
  • How has the global demand for the US dollar impacted the Mexican peso? The strengthening global demand for the US dollar has led to a decrease in the value of the Mexican peso, with the spot exchange rate currently at 18.5859 pesos per dollar.
  • What factors contributed to Mexico’s local GDP contraction in the third quarter? Mexico’s GDP contracted 0.3% in the third quarter compared to the April-June period, as reported by INEGI. On an annual basis, the GDP decreased by 0.2% in original terms.
  • How did the meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping affect the dollar’s value? The immediate reduction of tariffs on China following their meeting led to a decrease in market tensions, which contributed to the dollar’s strengthening.