Mexican Stock Market Hits New All-Time Highs Following U.S. Jobs Data

Web Editor

September 5, 2025

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Background on the Mexican Stock Market and Fed Interest Rates

The Mexican stock market has been experiencing gains for the second consecutive day, with key indices reaching new all-time highs following a U.S. employment report that supports expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Key Players and Their Impact

The S&P/BMV IPC, managed by the Bolsa Mexicana de Valores (BMV), which includes the most traded local stocks, rose by 0.65% to 60,256.11 units. The FTSE BIVA, operated by the Bolsa Institucional de Valores (Biva), also increased by 0.65% to 1,206.51 points.

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S&P/BMV IPCTradingview

Among the reference index constituents, most stocks are trading upwards. Notable gainers include Kimberly-Clark with a 2.42% increase to 37.29 pesos, Grupo Financiero Banorte with a 1.98% rise to 175.86 pesos, and BanBajío with a 1.45% gain to 48.27.

U.S. Jobs Report and Fed Expectations

The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for August showed a mere increase of 22,000 jobs, falling significantly short of the market’s expectation of 75,000 new positions. The unemployment rate rose to 4.3% from July’s 4.2%, indicating weakness in the job market.

According to Fed Watch, a tool that monitors the futures of the federal funds rate, traders anticipate a 50 basis point cut with a 14.20% probability this month, although the majority (85.8%) expect a 25 basis point reduction next month, with a 70% likelihood of another cut in the following month.

Key Questions and Answers

  • What is the Mexican stock market’s current status? The Mexican stock market has been experiencing gains for two consecutive days, with key indices reaching new all-time highs.
  • Which U.S. jobs report influenced the Mexican stock market? The non-farm payrolls report for August, which showed a weak job market with only 22,000 new jobs added.
  • What are traders expecting from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts? Traders anticipate either a 25 basis point or a 50 basis point cut, with the majority expecting the smaller reduction this month and another one next month.