Mexican Stock Market Reaches All-Time Intraday High, Analysts Warn of Correction Risk

Web Editor

May 28, 2025

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Background on the Mexican Stock Market and its Recent Performance

The Mexican stock market, represented by the Bolsa Mexicana de Valores (BMV) and its primary index, the S&P/BMV IPC, reached an all-time intraday high on Tuesday. The index peaked at 59,669.10 units, driven by a massive return of foreign investors to the Mexican bourse following the long weekend in the United States for Memorial Day.

According to data from the stock exchange center, trading activities in the local market during U.S. holidays can drop by up to 90%. After reaching the intraday high, the index retreated to close the day at 58,593.83 points, marking a daily increase of 0.23%.

Analysts’ Perspectives on Market Performance and Risks

Analysts from Banorte highlighted the positive market performance but cautioned about the risk of a correction. The price line has yet to surpass the crucial resistance level of 59,020 points.

“In this context, the potential support level is psychologically significant at 57,000 units,” wrote Víctor Cortes Castro, Subdirector of Technical Analysis at Banorte.

Challenging Market Explanation

In a recent interview, Marcos Martínez Gavica, President of the BMV, acknowledged the difficulty in explaining the S&P/BMV IPC’s year-to-date surge of 18%. He emphasized the stock market and peso’s recovery.

The BMV has experienced record growth in the first quarter of the year. Martínez noted that listed companies were undervalued and relatively cheap, contributing to the limited trading activity and suboptimal multiples for capital exit.

He stressed the importance of banks and stock brokerages, often part of financial groups, as diverse channels for entrepreneurs to meet their capital needs. Martínez highlighted the complementary relationship between banks and the stock market, urging companies to prepare for bank financing, debt, or equity offerings when opportunities arise.

Martínez also advised companies to improve their finances, corporate governance, and even if they don’t go public, growing their wealth, formalizing operations, and not wasting time.

Key Questions and Answers

  • What is the Mexican stock market’s recent performance? The S&P/BMV IPC reached an all-time intraday high of 59,669.10 units on Tuesday, driven by a surge in foreign investor participation following the Memorial Day weekend in the U.S.
  • What are analysts’ concerns regarding the market? Despite positive performance, analysts from Banorte warn of a potential correction risk since the price line has not surpassed the key resistance level of 59,020 points.
  • Why is it challenging to explain the market’s performance? Marcos Martínez Gavica, BMV President, finds it difficult to technically explain the S&P/BMV IPC’s 18% year-to-date surge, attributing it to the stock market and peso’s recovery.
  • What advice do experts offer to companies? Martínez advises companies to enhance their finances, corporate governance, and prepare for bank financing, debt, or equity offerings when opportunities arise.