China’s Fading Foreign Direct Investment: Implications for Mexico and Nearshoring

Web Editor

June 26, 2025

a typewriter with a face drawn on it and a caption for the words opinion and a question, Edward Otho

Introduction

El Economista’s recent article on the decline of foreign direct investment (FDI) in China has sparked interest, especially in Mexico. This decline has significant implications for the concept of “nearshoring,” which aims to attract foreign investments that would otherwise go to other geographical regions, away from North America’s economic zone.

China’s Economic Power and the U.S.: A Delicate Balance

Despite China’s impressive economic growth, it is crucial not to engage in an economic and geopolitical war with the United States, a formidable global power. The decline in FDI in China presents both opportunities and challenges for countries like Mexico that have traditionally benefited from nearshoring.

Mexico’s Challenges in Attracting FDI

Mexico, along with other similar destinations, has faced difficulties in attracting FDI due to various factors. President Donald Trump’s threats of tariffs on Mexican exports and local elements such as insecurity and policy uncertainties have contributed to this trend.

Importance of Saving and FDI

Economic development relies heavily on saving, and there are two primary ways to achieve it: domestic austerity and investing local production to expand the internal productive capacity, or attracting external savings through foreign direct investment (FDI), portfolio investments, or external credits.

Advantages of Attracting FDI

While attracting external savings is essential, prioritizing the first method—domestic austerity and internal investment expansion—offers several advantages. This approach ensures stability and facilitates technology transfer.

The U.S.-China Economic Rivalry: A New Era

The current rivalry between the United States and China differs significantly from the capitalism vs. communism conflict during the post-war era. Although China has adopted a market-oriented economy, it maintains a non-democratic political system. Nonetheless, the intensity of this rivalry remains substantial.

Key Questions and Answers

  • What is nearshoring? Nearshoring refers to the practice of attracting foreign investments that would otherwise go to other geographical regions, away from North America’s economic zone.
  • Why is the decline in China’s FDI significant for Mexico? The decline presents both opportunities and challenges for Mexico, which has traditionally benefited from nearshoring. It may lead to increased FDI in Mexico, but local factors like policy uncertainties and insecurity could deter investors.
  • What are the advantages of attracting FDI through domestic austerity? Prioritizing domestic austerity and internal investment expansion ensures stability, facilitates technology transfer, and promotes sustainable economic development.
  • How does the U.S.-China economic rivalry compare to the capitalism vs. communism conflict? Unlike the Cold War era, the current U.S.-China rivalry is not a clash of ideologies but a competition between two economic powers with different systems.