Introduction
With only two months left for the Electoral Tribunal to address and sanction irregularities from the extraordinary election that integrated the new Judicial Power, political parties have shifted their focus to legislative work. The political landscape is changing, with the demise of the PRIAN (Institutional Revolutionary Party and National Action Party) coalition, paving the way for potential partnerships between the Blue and Orange parties.
The Political Parties’ Focus
As the 2027 elections approach, both Morena and the opposition are strategizing for the medium-term future. The renewal of the Chamber of Deputies and 17 governorships in 2027 presents a significant challenge. The PAN (National Action Party) and Movimiento Ciudadano (Movement for Citizenship) may face a collision course in Nuevo León within two years, as Samuel Alejandro García Sepúlveda’s term ends. Adrián de la Garza, the current mayor of Monterrey and a Priista, is positioned to run for governor again, leading in the polls.
Morena’s Plans and Internal Competition
Morena aims to seek revenge by nominating Clara Luz Flores, but she may face tough internal competition from Tatiana Clouthier and Blanca Judith Díaz Delgado. The party will need to decide whether to field a female candidate to challenge the priista Adrián de la Garza for the governorship.
PAN’s Dilemma
The PAN, which placed fourth in the 2021 elections, must weigh whether to support Monterrey’s current mayor or attempt another campaign without allies and with little chance of success.
Governor García Sepúlveda’s Influence
Two years before the power shift in Nuevo León, Governor Samuel Alejandro García Sepúlveda has set the stage for succession. His decision not to re-endorse his wife, Mariana, for the Monterrey mayoralty has opened the door for Martha Patricia Herrera González, the state’s Secretary of Inclusion and Equality, to be positioned as a potential successor.
The Race for Monterrey’s Mayoralty
Lorena de la Garza, the current president of the local Congress, has been positioned as a potential successor by the PRI. Other possible candidates include former senator Ivonne Álvarez and former deputy Karina Marlen Barrón. Neither Morena nor PAN currently have viable candidates for Monterrey’s mayoralty.
Long-term Considerations and Potential Coalitions
The PAN is evaluating all scenarios before deciding to potentially forgo an alliance with the PRI. This decision depends on long-term considerations and mediations, as well as the possibility of cooperation with MC in other states like Campeche, Zacatecas, and Oaxaca to promote national pluralism.
Key Questions and Answers
- What is the current political situation in Nuevo León? The political landscape is shifting, with the PRIAN coalition dissolving and potential partnerships between PAN and MC emerging. The 2027 elections are approaching, with key races in Nuevo León, including the governorship and Monterrey’s mayoralty.
- Who are the leading candidates for governor in Nuevo León? Adrián de la Garza, the current mayor of Monterrey and a Priista, is leading in the polls for the gubernatorial race. Morena aims to nominate Clara Luz Flores, but she may face internal competition from Tatiana Clouthier and Blanca Judith Díaz Delgado.
- What is the PAN’s strategy for the upcoming elections? The PAN must decide whether to support Monterrey’s current mayor or attempt another campaign without allies. They are also evaluating potential coalitions with the PRI for long-term benefits in other states.
- Who is likely to succeed Adrián de la Garza as Monterrey’s mayor? Martha Patricia Herrera González, the state’s Secretary of Inclusion and Equality, is a potential successor. Other possible candidates include Lorena de la Garza, Ivonne Álvarez, and Karina Marlen Barrón.
- How might the PAN and MC collaborate in other states? The PAN and MC could potentially cooperate in states like Campeche, Zacatecas, and Oaxaca to foster national pluralism.
