The Future of T-MEC: Challenges for Mexico’s Leftist Government

Web Editor

September 10, 2025

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Introduction

The current left-progressive government in Mexico is making significant efforts to defend free trade with the United States. However, its economy’s heavy reliance on trade with its neighbor places it in a challenging position. The government is entangled in commitments with private and public oligopolies while struggling to bolster a weak domestic market and a government budget without the capacity to stimulate growth.

Historical Context and Current Challenges

The monopolies and oligopolies established by former PRI presidents, Lázaro Cárdenas, Adolfo López Mateos, and Carlos Salinas de Gortari, have been maintained by the PAN and Morena in strategic sectors such as telecommunications, banking, electricity, construction, media, steel, aluminum, and fuels, as well as government purchases and tenders. These entities not only concentrate national wealth among a few individuals but also constrain the government of President Claudia Sheinbaum, forcing her to advocate for increased global trade while facing numerous barriers to entry.

Marcelo Ebrard, the Secretary of Economy, nearly resides in the U.S., diligently safeguarding Mexico’s sole tool to sustain its economy by engaging with multinational governments and businesses eager to invest, despite numerous obstacles.

Specific Barriers to Investment and Trade

Despite 30 years having passed, Mexico’s concrete barriers to investment and trade against the U.S. remain unchanged. The government must address these challenges to foster a more prosperous T-MEC for Mexico and its people.

Domestic Market Issues

Simultaneously, the rest of President Sheinbaum’s cabinet must expedite efforts to revitalize the stagnant domestic market, which is suffocated by insecurity, lack of credit, poor road connectivity, and a business elite prioritizing self-interest over national progress.

  • Exorbitant cellular and wifi costs compared to other Latin American countries
  • Higher gasoline and electricity prices than in the U.S.
  • Expensive credit options
  • Weekly extortion of various professionals, including carpenters, bakers, tamal and guajolota vendors, bricklayers, restaurant workers, delivery personnel, electricians, upholsterers, taxi drivers, pharmacy attendants, janitors, real estate managers, seamstresses, tailors, teachers, and school directors.
  • Influx of Chinese citizens selling low-quality, often counterfeit products, further straining the domestic market.

Conclusion

Given these complexities, it is challenging to envision a favorable T-MEC outcome for Mexico and its populace. The government’s efforts to balance international trade commitments with domestic market revitalization will be crucial in determining the success of T-MEC for Mexico.

Key Questions and Answers

  • Q: What challenges does Mexico face in its pursuit of free trade with the U.S.? A: Mexico grapples with historical monopolies and oligopolies, a weak domestic market, and limited government capacity to stimulate growth. Additionally, numerous barriers to investment and trade persist, hindering progress.
  • Q: How does Mexico’s economy rely on trade with the U.S.? A: Mexico’s economy is heavily dependent on trade with the U.S., placing the government in a difficult position as it attempts to balance international trade commitments with domestic market revitalization.
  • Q: What are some specific barriers to investment and trade that Mexico faces? A: Despite 30 years having passed, Mexico’s concrete barriers to investment and trade against the U.S. remain unchanged, including issues in telecommunications, banking, electricity, and government purchases.
  • Q: What issues plague Mexico’s domestic market? A: The domestic market suffers from insecurity, lack of credit, poor road connectivity, and a business elite prioritizing self-interest over national progress. Moreover, exorbitant costs for cellular and wifi services, higher gasoline and electricity prices than in the U.S., expensive credit options, and weekly extortion of various professionals further strain the market.