Key Product Price Changes in Early September 2025
In the first half of September 2025, primary school education, university, and homeownership stood out for their influence on overall inflation due to price increases. Conversely, professional services, potatoes and other tubers, and avocados experienced price reductions.
According to the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI), the National Consumer Price Index (INPC) reached 141.181 in the first 15 days of September 2025, marking a 0.18% increase compared to the previous quarter.
Products and Services with Notable Price Declines
- Professional services (-15.31%)
- Potatoes and other tubers (-4.29%)
- Avocado (-5.94%)
- Oranges (-4.66%)
- Lettuce and endive (-5.01%)
- Egg (-0.66%)
- Tomato (-1.40%)
- Domestic LP gas (-0.52%)
- Tequila (-2.80%)
- Air transportation (-3.37%)
Year-End Outlook
Banamex analysts predict that inflation will continue to rise slightly in the remainder of 2025, although they anticipate a decrease in the underlying component. They estimate that annual general inflation will close the year at 4.0%, and underlying inflation at 3.9%. For 2026, they forecast these figures to reach 4.3% and 4.2%, respectively, according to Banamex’s Economic Studies team.
Key Questions and Answers
- Which products most affected inflation in early September 2025? Primary school education, university, and homeownership had the most significant impact on inflation due to price increases.
- What services and products experienced price declines? Professional services, potatoes and other tubers, avocados, oranges, lettuce and endive, eggs, tomatoes, domestic LP gas, tequila, and air transportation all reported notable price reductions.
- What are the projected inflation rates for the end of 2025 and 2026? Banamex analysts expect general inflation to close 2025 at 4.0% and underlying inflation at 3.9%. For 2026, they forecast general inflation to reach 4.3% and underlying inflation to be 4.2%.
