Overview of the Weather System
The National Weather Service has announced that on Saturday, November 1st, Front 12 will enter Mexico from the northern and northeastern regions, causing a drop in temperatures, strong winds, and rainfall. This system is associated with a high-level trough and polar and subtropical jet streams, which will result in wind gusts of 50 to 70 kilometers per hour and possible dust storms in Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, and Tamaulipas. The weather will be colder, especially during the afternoon and night.
Rainfall in Northeast, Central, and Southern Regions
Front 12 and the arrival of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will bring showers with thunderstorms to Tamaulipas and northern Veracruz, particularly in the Huasteca Alta, Huasteca Baja, and Totonaca regions. Nuevo León will experience isolated rainfall.
- In Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, and Chiapas, showers are expected due to low-pressure systems in the western and central regions combined with Pacific Ocean moisture.
- Lluvias dispersas (scattered showers) are forecast for Nayarit, Jalisco, the State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos, Puebla, and Hidalgo.
- In Yucatán and Quintana Roo, isolated showers are expected due to the arrival of humid Caribbean Sea air.
Contrasting Conditions: Heat in the Pacific, Cold in the North
Maximum temperatures between 35 and 40 degrees Celsius are expected in Baja California Sur, Sonora, Sinaloa, Jalisco, the southwestern part of Chihuahua, San Luis Potosí, Tamaulipas, and Oaxaca during the day.
Temperatures between 30 and 35 degrees Celsius are forecast in Coahuila, Nuevo León, Nayarit, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Chiapas, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán, and Quintana Roo.
Minimum temperatures will range from -5 to 0 degrees Celsius with frost in the highlands of Chihuahua and Durango, and 0 to 5 degrees Celsius in the highlands of Baja California, Sonora, Nuevo León, Zacatecas, Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, the State of Mexico, Veracruz, Michoacán, and Oaxaca at night.
Valle de México: Cold Morning, Rainy Afternoon
In the Valle de México, expect partly cloudy skies in the morning, a cold atmosphere, and possible frost in high elevations of the State of Mexico. During the afternoon, temperatures will be temperate to warm with mostly partly cloudy skies, and isolated showers are expected in southern Mexico City and the western part of the State of Mexico.
- The minimum temperature in Mexico City will be 9 to 11 degrees Celsius, and the maximum 23 to 25 degrees Celsius.
- In Toluca, the minimum will be 2 to 4 degrees Celsius, and the maximum 20 to 22 degrees Celsius.
Strong Winds and Elevated Waves in Pacific Coasts
In the Isthmus and Gulf of Tehuantepec, northerly winds will persist, with gusts up to 70 kilometers per hour in Oaxaca and Chiapas. Additionally, waves of 1.5 to 2.5 meters are expected along the coasts of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, and Chiapas. The rest of the Pacific coast will experience winds of 10 to 20 kilometers per hour with gusts of 35 to 50 kilometers per hour.
Key Questions and Answers
- What is Front 12? Front 12 is a weather system bringing cooler temperatures, strong winds, and rainfall to Mexico.
- Which regions will experience rainfall? Rainfall is expected in the northeast, central, and southern regions of Mexico, with isolated showers in some areas.
- What are the temperature expectations? Daytime temperatures will range from 35 to 40 degrees Celsius in the north, while the rest of the country will see temperatures between 30 and 35 degrees Celsius. Nighttime minimums will drop to -5 to 0 degrees Celsius with frost in high elevations.
- What weather conditions are expected in the Valle de México? Cold mornings with possible frost will give way to temperate to warm afternoons with partly cloudy skies and isolated showers.
- What are the wind conditions along the Pacific coast? Strong winds with gusts up to 70 kilometers per hour are expected in Oaxaca and Chiapas, along with elevated waves of 1.5 to 2.5 meters along the coasts.