Official End Date: The rainy season in Mexico, officially marked by the National Weather Service (SMN), concludes on November 30th. However, conditions may extend beyond this date due to atmospheric variability.
Expected Atmospheric Events in 2025
According to the SMN, which is part of Mexico’s National Water Commission (Conagua), up to 36 atmospheric events are anticipated for both the Pacific and Atlantic regions in 2025. These events include hurricanes and heavy rainfall.
NOAA’s Outlook for the Season
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in the United States predicts a 60% likelihood of above-normal atmospheric conditions for this season. Factors contributing to this outlook include warmer-than-average ocean temperatures and a potential increase in the West African Monsoon’s activity, which serves as the genesis for Atlantic hurricanes.
Regional Precipitation Forecast
In July, rainfall is expected to decrease in the Yucatan Peninsula. Meanwhile, the rest of the country is forecasted to experience average precipitation levels. From August through October, average rainfall within normal ranges is anticipated.
Preparation and Risk Awareness
Given the potential for heavy rainfall, strong winds, landslides, and flooding, it’s crucial to stay informed and prepared throughout the season. Local authorities and emergency services will provide updates on any necessary precautions or evacuations.
Key Questions and Answers
- Q: When does the rainy season in Mexico typically end? A: Officially, it ends on November 30th, as per the National Weather Service (SMN).
- Q: How many atmospheric events are expected in Mexico for the 2025 season? A: Up to 36 events are forecasted by the SMN for both the Pacific and Atlantic regions.
- Q: What factors contribute to the prediction of above-normal atmospheric conditions for this season? A: Warmer-than-average ocean temperatures and a potential increase in the West African Monsoon’s activity are key factors, according to NOAA.
- Q: What is the expected precipitation pattern for July in the Yucatan Peninsula? A: Rainfall is predicted to decrease during this month.
- Q: What can residents of Mexico expect in terms of rainfall from August to October? A: Average rainfall within normal ranges is anticipated during these months.
- Q: Why is it important to stay informed throughout the rainy season? A: The potential for heavy rainfall, strong winds, landslides, and flooding necessitates preparedness and adherence to local authorities’ guidance.
