Overview of Mexico’s Agricultural Exports in Q3 2025
In the third quarter of 2025, Mexico’s agricultural sector exports totaled $2,902 million, accounting for 2.0% of the country’s total external sales; this figure reflects an annual decrease of 11.5%, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi).
Michoacán Leads Agricultural Exports
Michoacán emerged as the leading agricultural exporter, with $825.5 million in sales abroad. However, this value represents a 13.3% decline compared to the same period in 2024. The agricultural sector is crucial for Michoacán’s economy, making up 64.0% of its total exports.
Jalisco and Sinaloa Follow
Jalisco came in second with $289.1 million in agricultural exports, marking a 0.4% annual contraction. This sector contributes 2.1% to Jalisco’s total exports, which are dominated by manufacturing.
Sinaloa ranked third, with $266.9 million in agricultural exports, representing an 11.2% decrease from the previous year. Agriculture accounts for 47.8% of Sinaloa’s total exports.
Factors Contributing to the Decline
The decline in agricultural exports is attributed to several recent factors, including health issues (gusano barrenador outbreak in livestock), changes in U.S. import policies, droughts, logistical problems due to roadblocks, rising costs, and the impact of new tariffs.
Positive Signs for the Remainder of 2025
Despite the challenges, the national primary activity grew by 3.53% in Q3 2025, as reported by Banco de México’s Regional Economic Report.
Experts predict a better year-end for primary exports. The northern region, comprising Aguascalientes, Baja California Sur, Colima, Durango, Jalisco, Michoacán, Nayarit, San Luis Potosí, Sinaloa, and Zacatecas, saw a 0.4% interannual growth in agro-livestock production due to increased cereal, legume, and oilseed production, as well as the expansion of industrial and forage crops and higher agave harvests.
The livestock sector performed well, supported by ample availability of forage grains and increased domestic demand for pork due to the slowdown in U.S. imports caused by health issues.
Detailed State Performance
Michoacán
$825.5 million in agricultural exports, a 13.3% decrease from the same period in 2024.
Agriculture constitutes 64.0% of Michoacán’s total exports.
Jalisco
$289.1 million in agricultural exports, a 0.4% annual contraction.
Agriculture contributes 2.1% to Jalisco’s total exports, which are primarily manufacturing-based.
Sinaloa
$266.9 million in agricultural exports, an 11.2% decrease from the previous year.
Agriculture accounts for 47.8% of Sinaloa’s total exports.
Baja California
$224.4 million in exports, a 24.0% interannual decline.
Agriculture contributes 1.9% to Baja California’s total exports.
Sonora
$160.8 million in exports, a 13.9% reduction.
Agriculture represents 2.8% of Sonora’s total exports.
Key Questions and Answers
- What is the total value of Mexico’s agricultural exports in Q3 2025? $2,902 million
- What percentage of Mexico’s total external sales does agriculture represent in Q3 2025? 2.0%
- What is the annual decrease in Mexico’s agricultural exports in Q3 2025? 11.5%
- Which state leads Mexico in agricultural exports? Michoacán
- What factors contributed to the decline in agricultural exports? Health issues, changes in U.S. import policies, droughts, logistical problems, rising costs, and new tariffs.
- What is the projected outlook for Mexico’s primary exports for the remainder of 2025? Experts predict a better year-end due to growth in the northern region’s agro-livestock production.
