T-MEC May Penalize Chinese Inputs and Redefine Investment in Jalisco: AMCHAM

Web Editor

December 25, 2025

Background on the American Chamber of Commerce (AMCHAM) and its Relevance

The American Chamber of Commerce (AMCHAM) in Guadalajara, Jalisco, is a prominent business organization representing U.S. companies operating in the region. Ernesto Sánchez Proal, the president of AMCHAM Guadalajara, is a key figure in understanding how the T-MEC (Mexico-United States-Canada Agreement) revisions might impact businesses in Jalisco.

T-MEC Review and Potential Changes

According to Sánchez Proal, the upcoming T-MEC review is not expected to involve a comprehensive renegotiation. However, it may bring significant adjustments to one of the most sensitive chapters for the established industry in Jalisco: the rules of origin.

Speculation on Capital Origin as an Additional Criterion

Sánchez Proal mentioned that there has been speculation among U.S. corporate executives with operations in Jalisco that the origin of capital might be incorporated as an additional criterion within the rules of origin. This potential change could have direct implications for Jalisco as a foreign investment destination.

Impact on Asian Inputs

The president of AMCHAM highlighted that there is a significant tightening in regional content, particularly concerning inputs from Asia, especially China. He emphasized that this review might penalize more heavily the content of components originating from China.

Positive Feedback from U.S. Government

Despite the potential changes, Sánchez Proal noted that the feedback from the U.S. government regarding Mexico’s collaboration in trade matters and security issues has been positive. However, the U.S. intends to reduce its reliance on components manufactured outside the T-MEC region.

Implications for Jalisco’s Investment Climate

Sánchez Proal explained that if capital origin becomes an additional criterion, it could have substantial implications for Jalisco. Some companies with Asian capital are planning operations in the country, and even if their inputs meet the rules of origin, they might still face penalties due to foreign capital origination outside the T-MEC region.

Key Questions and Answers

  • What is the American Chamber of Commerce (AMCHAM) in Guadalajara? AMCHAM is a prominent business organization representing U.S. companies operating in the Jalisco region.
  • What is the T-MEC? The T-MEC is a trade agreement between Mexico, the United States, and Canada.
  • What changes might the T-MEC review bring? The review may introduce adjustments to the rules of origin, potentially penalizing more Chinese inputs and possibly incorporating capital origin as an additional criterion.
  • How might these changes impact Jalisco? If capital origin becomes an additional criterion, it could have significant implications for Jalisco as a foreign investment destination, potentially affecting companies with Asian capital.