Formación de Tormenta Tropical ‘Alvin’
On Thursday morning, Tormenta Tropical ‘Alvin’ was formed, becoming the first named system of the current Pacific tropical cyclone season, according to Mexico’s National Weather Service (SMN), under the National Water Commission (Conagua).
‘Alvin’ evolved from Depression Tropical Uno-E, located off the coast of Michoacán, rapidly advancing to tormenta tropical status within hours.
Impact on Various Regions
The ‘Alvin’ has already initiated intense rainfall and strong gusts of wind across numerous regions, particularly in western, central, and southern states. Authorities maintain constant vigilance for potential impacts.
Additional Cold Front Enhances Rainfall Possibilities
Adding to this situation, an atypical cold front is expected to enter northern and northwestern Mexico, further increasing the likelihood of rainfall across various regions over the coming hours.
- For the next 24 hours, the SMN forecasts heightened potential for rainfall in northern and western states.
- The most intense precipitation is anticipated in states like Chihuahua, Coahuila, San Luis Potosí, Jalisco, Michoacán, Guerrero, Hidalgo, Puebla, Veracruz, Oaxaca, Chiapas, and the Mexico City area.
Temperature Forecast
Maximum temperatures are expected in entities such as Sonora, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Tamaulipas, and the Yucatan Peninsula. Minimum temperatures will persist in high-altitude regions of Chihuahua, Durango, and the State of Mexico.
Along the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean coasts, winds up to 65 km/h are forecasted, particularly in Tabasco, Campeche, and Yucatán coasts, potentially affecting maritime activities.
‘Alvin’ Tormenta: Expected Evolution and Path
According to the SMN, Depression Tropical Uno-E transformed into Tormenta Tropical ‘Alvin’ and is moving off the Mexican Pacific coast. Here’s the detailed forecast of its trajectory:
- On Thursday morning, May 29, ‘Alvin’ was approximately 570 kilometers southwest of Punta San Telmo, Michoacán.
- By Thursday afternoon, it was estimated to be 560 kilometers off Playa Pérula, Jalisco.
- On Friday, May 30, ‘Alvin’ continued its northwestward movement, located around 405 kilometers from Playa Pérula by Friday afternoon.
- By Saturday morning, May 31, ‘Alvin’ was expected to be approximately 310 kilometers from Cabo Corrientes, Jalisco.
- Later on Saturday, ‘Alvin’ is predicted to start weakening and degrade into a remnant low-pressure area around 220 kilometers southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Baja California Sur.
- By Sunday afternoon, June 1, the remnants of ‘Alvin’ are forecasted to be 125 kilometers southeast of Los Barriles, also in Baja California Sur, potentially causing isolated rainfall.
Cabo San Lucas and Los Barriles in Baja California Sur are expected to be the most affected areas. Michoacán and Guerrero may experience intense rainfall, while other Pacific coastal states might see less intense precipitation.
Recommendations and Monitoring
Authorities are continuously monitoring the system. They advise the public to stay informed via SMN and local civil protection, and take necessary precautions if residing in vulnerable or prone-to-intense-rainfall areas.
