Mexico’s National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) Forecasts Cautious Private Consumption in 2025

Web Editor

December 17, 2025

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Introduction

The National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) in Mexico has recently released an indicator suggesting a cautious approach to private consumption as 2025 approaches. The data reveals that while consumer spending increased by 0.3% in October, it experienced a slight contraction of 0.1% in November, despite the “Buen Fin” (Good Finance) shopping event.

Background on Inegi and its Relevance

The National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) is Mexico’s official statistics agency, responsible for collecting, analyzing, and disseminating statistical data on various aspects of the country’s social, economic, and environmental development. Inegi’s indicators are widely respected for their accuracy and reliability, making them crucial for policymakers, investors, and the general public to understand Mexico’s economic trends.

Key Economic Indicators

October’s Growth

In October, Mexico’s private consumption grew by 0.3% on a monthly basis. This positive trend can be attributed to factors such as increased employment opportunities, rising wages, and consumer confidence.

November’s Contraction

However, in November, private consumption experienced a 0.1% contraction despite the “Buen Fin” shopping event, which typically boosts consumer spending. This unexpected decline may be due to several factors, including rising inflation, concerns over the global economic slowdown, and potential uncertainties surrounding Mexico’s political and economic landscape.

Impact on Mexico’s Economy

Private consumption plays a significant role in Mexico’s economy, accounting for roughly 60% of the country’s GDP. A cautious approach to private consumption could potentially slow down economic growth, affecting businesses and employment opportunities. Consequently, policymakers may need to consider targeted measures to stimulate consumer spending and maintain economic stability.

Key Questions and Answers

  • What is Inegi, and why is its analysis important? Inegi is Mexico’s official statistics agency, responsible for collecting and disseminating accurate data on various aspects of the country’s development. Its analysis is crucial for understanding Mexico’s economic trends and informing policymaking.
  • What factors contributed to the growth in October? Factors such as increased employment opportunities, rising wages, and consumer confidence led to the 0.3% growth in private consumption during October.
  • Why did private consumption contract in November despite the “Buen Fin” event? The unexpected decline could be attributed to rising inflation, concerns over the global economic slowdown, and uncertainties surrounding Mexico’s political and economic landscape.
  • How significant is private consumption in Mexico’s economy? Private consumption accounts for approximately 60% of Mexico’s GDP, making it a critical driver of economic growth and stability.
  • What could be the consequences of a cautious approach to private consumption? A cautious approach could potentially slow down economic growth, affecting businesses and employment opportunities. Policymakers may need to consider targeted measures to stimulate consumer spending and maintain economic stability.