Mexican Peso Strengthens Against Weakening US Dollar; Awaits US Employment Data

Web Editor

September 29, 2025

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Background on the Mexican Peso and its Significance

The Mexican Peso has gained ground against the US Dollar on Monday morning. The local currency is advancing as the greenback retreats, with market participants eagerly anticipating a series of US economic data releases that could provide insights into the future trajectory of the Federal Reserve’s interest rates.

Current Exchange Rate and Dollar Movement

The spot exchange rate is currently at 18.3098 pesos per dollar. Compared to the previous close of 18.3602 pesos on Friday, according to the official data from Banco de México (Banxico), this represents a gain of 5.04 centavos, or 0.28%, for the peso.

The dollar’s price is fluctuating within a range from a high of 18.3666 pesos to a low of 18.2951 pesos. Meanwhile, the Dollar Index (DXY) from the Intercontinental Exchange, which compares the US dollar to six reference currency pairs, is down by 0.23% at 97.92 units.

Anticipation of US Employment Data

Investors are eagerly awaiting several upcoming US employment figures throughout the week, which could offer clues about the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy decisions. Last week’s data maintained expectations for interest rate cuts.

“Today, the peso is benefiting from the weakening US dollar, as investors continue to assess the PCE inflation data released on Friday, while eagerly awaiting key US employment reports this week,” stated Monex Grupo Financiero in an analysis note.

Upcoming Economic Data Releases

Among the economic data to be released this week, the nonfarm payroll report and September unemployment rate are highlighted on Friday. Prior to that, other data points such as job openings (JOLTS), the private ADP payroll report, and services and manufacturing data will be released.

Impact of Potential US Government Shutdown

The dollar’s decline in the market is also influenced by the possibility of a US government shutdown, which could occur if Congress fails to pass a funding bill before the end of the fiscal year on Tuesday.

Key Questions and Answers

  • Q: Why is the Mexican Peso gaining against the US Dollar? A: The Mexican Peso is strengthening due to the weakening US Dollar, as investors evaluate recent inflation data and anticipate crucial US employment reports.
  • Q: What economic data is expected to be released this week? A: Key releases include job openings (JOLTS), private sector payroll data from ADP, along with services and manufacturing data, culminating in the nonfarm payroll report and unemployment rate on Friday.
  • Q: How might a potential US government shutdown affect the currency market? A: A possible government shutdown, should Congress fail to pass a funding bill before the fiscal year’s end, could contribute to the dollar’s decline in the market.