Cold Front 14 Advances Across Northwest Mexico
On November 16, Cold Front 14 will continue to move across northwest Mexico, bringing a mix of low temperatures, heavy rainfall, and strong winds across various parts of the country. According to Mexico’s National Weather Service (SMN), this frontal system will interact with a mid-level and upper-level atmospheric trough, as well as polar and subtropical jet streams, reinforcing winter conditions from early morning hours.
Heavy Rainfall in Northwest and Southeast Regions
The SMN forecasts varying intensities of precipitation, including:
- Puntuales fuertes (25 a 50 mm): Baja California (norte), Chiapas (centro y sur)
- Intervalos de chubascos (5 a 25 mm): Sonora, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Veracruz (Las Montañas, Papaloapan, Los Tuxtlas y Olmeca), Tabasco, Quintana Roo
- Lluvias aisladas: Baja California Sur, Jalisco, Colima, Campeche, Yucatán
The SMN warns that heavy rainfall may lead to reduced visibility, waterlogging, landslides, and flooding, as well as increased river and stream levels.
Low Temperatures and Frost in High-Altitude Regions
Cold conditions will persist during mornings and nights across much of northern and central Mexico, with frost in mountainous areas.
- Minimum temperatures expected:
- -10 a -5 °C with frost: Zones of high altitude in Baja California, Sonora, Chihuahua, and Durango.
- -5 a 0 °C with frost: Sierras of Zacatecas, Hidalgo, Estado de México, Tlaxcala, Puebla, and Veracruz.
- 0 a 5 °C: High mountain ranges of Coahuila, Nuevo León, San Luis Potosí, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, Jalisco, Michoacán, Querétaro, Ciudad de México, Morelos, and Oaxaca.
Valley of Mexico
In Mexico City, the minimum temperature is expected to be 5 to 7 °C, and the maximum 24 to 26 °C, with no rainfall and partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. In Toluca, temperatures will range from 1 to 3 °C in the morning to highs of 22 to 24 °C in the afternoon.
Strong Winds and High Waves
The strongest gusts will be concentrated in the northwest:
- 60 a 70 km/h in Sonora and Chihuahua
- 35 a 50 km/h in Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, Durango, and the coast of Jalisco
- Waves 1.5 to 2.5 meters high along the western coast of Baja California Peninsula
These conditions may cause tree or billboard fallout and complicate navigation in coastal areas.
Warm Conditions Prevail in Western, Southern, and Gulf States
Despite the advance of Cold Front 14, high temperatures will persist in western, southern, and Gulf of Mexico regions.
- Maximum temperatures forecast:
- 35 a 40 °C in: Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas (Istmo), Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, and San Luis Potosí.
- 30 a 35 °C in: Baja California Sur, Sonora (south), Chihuahua (southwest), Durango (west), Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Morelos, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán, and Quintana Roo.
Regional Conditions Highlighted:
- Baja California and Baja California Sur: Heavy rainfall in the north, freezing conditions in mountainous areas, and high waves.
- Pacific Centro: Chubascos in Michoacán and isolated rainfall in Jalisco and Colima.
- Pacific Sur: Heavy rainfall in Chiapas and chubascos in Oaxaca and Guerrero.
- Gulf of Mexico: Chubascos in Veracruz and Tabasco; no rainfall in Tamaulipas.
- Península de Yucatán: Chubascos in Quintana Roo; isolated rainfall in Campeche and Yucatán.
Key Questions and Answers
- What is Cold Front 14?: A weather system bringing cold temperatures, heavy rainfall, and strong winds to Mexico.
- Which regions will experience heavy rainfall?: Northwest, southeast, and the Yucatan Peninsula.
- Where will low temperatures and frost occur?: Northern, central, and high-altitude regions.
- What are the expected wind conditions?: Strong gusts in northwestern regions and high waves along the western coast of Baja California Peninsula.
- Which regions will maintain warm temperatures?: Western, southern, and Gulf of Mexico states.
